This
will be nauseatingly familiar to anyone in New Zealand. In the
meantime debt levels increase exponentially... the destruction of
civil society
George
Osborne slashes welfare and extends austerity in autumn statement
Cuts
in corporation tax, higher infrastructure spending and delay to fuel
duty rise among measures announced by chancellor
5
December, 2012
George
Osbourne has announced deep cuts in welfare and Whitehall spending
after admitting Britain's malfunctioning economy had left him unable
to meet the government's targets for repairing the public finances.
The
rating agency Fitch responded instantly to the chancellor's news that
his austerity programme would be extended until 2018 – well into
the next parliament – by warning that the UK was at risk of losing
its coveted AAA credit rating.
Osborne
announced cuts in corporation tax, more generous investment
allowances for business, higher infrastructure spending and the
scrapping of next month's planned 3p fuel duty increase in response
to heavily revised-down forecasts from the independent Office for
Budget Responsibility (OBR) that the economy will contract by 0.1% in
2012 and grow by just 1.2% in 2013 – the weakest post-recession
performance in Britain's postwar history.
But
the chancellor said limiting benefit increases to a below inflation
1% (saving £3.75bn), a fresh £31bn squeeze on government
departments after 2014 and tax increases aimed at the better off,
were unavoidable if Britain was to cut its borrowing. He sought to
soften the blow by raising the tax-free personal allowance on income
by £235 to £9,440.
"It's
a hard road, but we're getting there. Britain is on the right track –
and turning back now would be a disaster. We have much more to do,"
the chancellor said.
Fitch
expressed concern at Osborne's decision to put back by a year to
2016-17 the date by which Britain's national debt will start to fall
as a proportion of gross domestic product. "In our view, missing
the target weakens the credibility of the UK's fiscal framework,
which is one of the factors supporting the [AAA] rating," the
ratings agency said.
Although
two years of zero growth will mean that the government's budget
deficit next year will be almost double the £60bn predicted in
Osborne's first budget in June 2010, the chancellor said progress was
being made. By including the expected £3.5bn proceeds of the auction
of the 4G spectrum he was able to say that the deficit was coming
down in each year of the current parliament.
The
OBR predicted that it would take until late 2014 for the economy's
output to return to its pre-recession level in early 2008 and that
borrowing would be higher in each of the next four years than it
expected at the time of the budget in March as a result. But while
warning that job losses in the public sector will top 900,000 by
2018, the OBR backed the chancellor's view that the 2012 downturn was
caused by factors beyond the government's control and would not
increase Britain's structural budget deficit.
Osborne
said the cut in welfare spending was justified because those in work
were seeing their incomes rise more slowly than those on benefits.
But
Julia Unwin, chief executive of the anti-poverty thinktank, the
Joseph Rowntree Foundation, said: "Austerity is here to stay,
and growth is as elusive as ever. That is tough for everyone – but
hardest for the poorest. The uprating of benefits by 1% will increase
poverty. Poorer people are facing destitution, perhaps a decade of
destitution, felt by future generations."
In
a shaky Commons performance the shadow chancellor, Ed Balls, said:
"Growth down, borrowing revised up and the fiscal rules broken:
on every target they have set themselves, they are failing, failing,
failing. They are cutting the NHS, not the deficit; they are
borrowing £212bn more than they promised two years ago; and they are
cutting taxes for the rich, while struggling families and pensioners
pay the price – unfair, incompetent and completely out of touch."
Facing
what the Conservatives clearly intend to turn into a wedge issue,
Labour refused to say whether it would back the three-year squeeze in
welfare benefits – including jobseeker's allowance, tax credits and
child benefit – when the government puts the issue in the form of a
bill to a Commons vote early next year. Labour claimed 60% of those
expected to suffer the squeeze are not benefit scroungers but people
in work, including 3.7m on child tax credit.
Balls
said Labour will assess whether to vote for the squeeze when it has
seen the government's legislation, but the opposition claimed the
welfare changes meant that in 2013-14, along with all other changes
to taxes and benefits which are set to take effect in April 2013, a
one-earner family on £20,000 with two children will lose £279 a
year. Osborne also faced an attack from the right for dragging about
400,000 more people into the 40p rate of income tax and reducing the
amount of tax relief those on higher incomes receive on pension
payments.
Despite
the welfare squeeze and the failure to persuade Osborne for the
second time in a year to back the mansion tax, the Liberal Democrat
leadership embraced the autumn statement as a joint enterprise. The
party's deputy leader, Simon Hughes, said: "We specifically won
our battle to get the tax threshold raised, that was in our manifesto
last time and out of all the policies that was our biggest
commitment." On welfare he said: "We fought our corner for
people on lower incomes and won considerable battles."
Vince
Cable, the business secretary, said: "The worst thing to have
done would have been to impose more austerity, more cuts now, in the
middle of a very difficult period of slow growth. So we're spreading
it out over a longer period, rather similar to what the Labour party
are arguing, though of course they now criticise us."
The
need to extend the point at which austerity ends to 2017-18 has
required Osborne to set out further spending cuts worth over £31bn
between 2014 and 2018 or a real-terms cut of 19% if health, schools
and international development continue to be protected. The Social
Market Foundation predicted that the budget for the Home Office and
Ministry of Justice would be more than 40% smaller in 2018 than they
were in 2010.
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