Wednesday 14 January 2015

Escalation and moves to general conflict across the board

Today's headlines are all about an escalation - in the war in Ukraine; a widening of the gap and growth of "liberal" fascism in Europe; military build-up and the continuation in the collapse of oil prices

---SMR

----Graham Phillips
**Breaking** Just back from Kubishevsky region of Donetsk. It is coming under enormous Ukrainian shelling today. Photos and video to come now.

**Срочно** Только что вернулся из Куйбышевский район Донецк. Там идет огромное Украинский обстрел сегодня. Фото и видео, теперь будет.

----Mark Sleboda

I said yesterday that a Kremlin response to the resumption of full scale shelling of Donbass by West-backed Kiev regime was absolutely vital to avoid losing all hope.

Tonight it appears I got my answer. BS talks cancelled and ‪#‎DonetskAirportNash‬ (finally)!


Turkish President's Stunning Outburst: The French Are Behind The Charlie Hebdo Massacre; Mossad Blamed

13 January, 2015

It was less than 48 hours ago when Turkey’s prime minister, Ahmet Davutoglu, joined millions marching in Paris to pay tribute to the 17 people killed by ISIS-supporting extremists. Then, almost the moment he got back, things changed, and as the FT politely paraphrases what transpired, the "country’s president struck a much more confrontational tone." That's one way of putting it. Another is that the former PM and current president, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, of NATO-member Turkey did the unthinkable: accused the west, and French citizens in particular, of staging the Charlie Hebdo murder in order to blame Muslims, even as the mayor of Ankara said "Mossad is definitely behind such incidents . . . it is boosting enmity towards Islam."

"The duplicity of the west is obvious,” Recep Tayyip Erdogan said at a press conference on Monday evening. “As Muslims we have never sided with terror or massacres: racism, hate speech, Islamophobia are behind these massacres.”
His punchline: "The culprits are clear: French citizens undertook this massacre and Muslims were blamed for it,” he dded.

The FT is confused: "Although political leaders in Turkey have repeatedly condemned the attacks on the Charlie Hebdo magazine, a Jewish supermarket and a policewoman, a parallel narrative has emerged in the country, with conspiracy theorists blaming the murders on foreign intelligence agencies rather than radical Islamists."

It's not just the French who were said to be behind the attack: so is Mossad:







Melih Gokcek, mayor of Ankara for the ruling AK party, said on Monday that “Mossad [the Israeli intelligence service] is definitely behind such incidents . . . it is boosting enmity towards Islam.” Mr Gokcek linked the attacks to French moves towards recognising Palestine.
 
Ali Sahin, a member of Turkey’s parliament and foreign affairs spokesman for the AK party, last week set out eight reasons why he suspected the killings were staged so that “the attack will be blamed on Muslims and Islam”.

But back to Erdogan:







In his own remarks on Monday, Mr Erdogan added: “Games are being played throughout the Islamic world”. He expressed bewilderment that French intelligence services had not followed the culprits more effectively.

The FT is further confused that Turkey is not the only place which has dared to offer conspiratorial theories: Russia is too



In Russia, some pro-Kremlin commentators sought to link the killings to geopolitical machinations by the US. 
 
Komsomolskaya Pravda, one of Russia’s leading tabloids, ran the headline: “Did the Americans stage the terror attack in Paris?” and posted a series of interviews on its website that presented various reasons why Washington might have organised the attack. 
In one interview, Alexander Zhilin, head of the pro-Kremlin Moscow Centre for the Study of Applied Problems, claimed the terror attack was US retribution against President François Hollande for a January 6 radio interview in which Mr Hollande urged the EU to lift sanctions against Russia.  Washington used the attacks as “a quick fix for consolidating” US and EU geopolitical interests in Ukraine, Mr Zhilin claimed.

The FT is most stunned that in Russia the events in Charlie Hebdo are being equated to the 9/11 tragedy:







For the last 10 years, so-called Islamist terrorism has been under the control of one of the world’s leading intelligence agencies,” Alexei Martynov, director of the International Institute for New States, a think-tank, told pro-Kremlin internet outlet LifeNews. “I am sure that some American supervisors are responsible for the terror attacks in Paris, or in any case the Islamists who carried them out.”

Whatever could have given the Russian this idea..



Erdogan welcomes Abbas in Ottoman Empire style ceremony



A grand reception in the likes of the Ottoman Empire has welcomed Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas to Anakara, as Turkey resurrected images of past warriors to greet the foreign leader.

Accompanied by spear-carrying warriors and guards in chainmail and golden helmets, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan welcomed Abbas to the new presidential palace - the Ak Saray.

The scene of the historical costume drama included 16 warriors each representing one of the 16 empires of Turkish history from the Hunnic Empire, founded around 200 BC, to the Ottoman Empire which was dissolved in 1920

View image on Twitter
@DailyStarLeb "[The] circus [arrived] in the palace...,” ~ Kadri Gursel (Turkish journalist).

Russia To Increase 'Combat Capabilities' In Crimea, Sees Ukraine Conflict Worsening

13 January, 2015

Following the adoption of its new military doctrine signed by President Vladimir Putin in December which identifies NATO expansion as an external risk, it is perhaps hardly surprising that, as Reuters reports,Russia's top general, Valery Garesimov stated that the "Defence Ministry will focus its efforts on increasing the combat capabilities of its units and increasing combat strength.. with special attention will be given to the groups in Crimea." Amid renewed heavy shelling in Donetsk, NATO's top military commander noted they will be stepping up exercises in the Baltic Sea region as Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin warns, "the situation in eastern Ukraine is deteriorating."
 


Russia's top general said on Tuesday he would beef up combat capabilities this year in Crimea, the Arctic and the country's westernmost Kaliningrad region that borders two NATO states.
 
The remarks by General Valery Gerasimov, chief of the General Staff of the Armed Forces, are likely to deepen concern in the West over what it sees as Russia increasingly flexing its muscles since the start of the crisis in Ukraine.
 
"In 2015, the Defence Ministry will focus its efforts onincreasing the combat capabilities of its units and increasing combat strength in accordance with the military development plans," Gerasimov told Russian journalists.
 
"Special attention will be given to the groups in Crimea, the Kaliningrad region and the Arctic," he was quoted as saying by Russian news agencies but gave no further details.
 
His remarks follow the adoption of a new military doctrine signed by President Vladimir Putin in December which underlines the need to protect Russia's interests in the Arctic and identifies NATO expansion as an external risk.
 
...
 
Russia deployed 14 military jets to Crimea last November as part of a squadron of 30 that will be stationed there, making clear it intends to strengthen its presence on the peninsula since annexing it from Kiev last March.
And NATO is not standing still...


NATO's top military commander, General Philip Breedlove, said the alliance was already looking at stepping up exercises in the Baltic Sea region in response to a rise in Russian military manoeuvres there late last year.
 
Breedlove warned at the time that Russia's "militarization" of Crimea could be used to exert control over the Black Sea.
 
He said on Tuesday NATO was considering adapting a programme of military exercises in the Baltic Sea region, where he said Russian activities had changed in character and showed capabilities not seen before.
 
"The first series of changes will not be an increase in number but they will be to group them together ... to better prepare our forces and to allow nations to work together as a NATO force, but we are looking at increasing some exercises," he said at a NATO base at Szczecin in northwest Poland.
 
NATO has boosted its military presence in eastern Europe, saying it has evidence Russia orchestrated and armed the rebellion in eastern Ukraine last yearthat followed the overthrow of a Kremlin-backed president in Kiev.
And Bloomberg confirms, Russian Foreign Ministry Sees Ukraine Conflict Worsening


Situation in eastern Ukraine is deteriorating, RIA Novosti reports, citing Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin.

It’s time for Ukraine govt to make decisions: Karasin

And as the following live feed and clips suggest, he is not wrong...
Overnight attacks...

Live Feed (following the "leave Doetsk Airport Or Die" Threats...
*  *  *
Ironically, this increased sbare-rattling comes at a time when Dow Jones reports what appears like Europe's continued efforts at detente with Russia...


The European Union could significantly scale back sanctions and resume discussions with Russia on issues from visa-free travel, co-operation with the Moscow-led Eurasian Economic Union and the crisis in Libya, Syria and Iraq if Russia moves to end the crisis in eastern Ukraine, according to an EU discussion paper.

While insisting the EU cannot return to "business as usual" with Moscow, the paper suggests the EU consider gradually normalizing many aspects of its ties with Russia in what would be a significant shift in relations. It says that would depend on Moscow fully implementing the peace and cease-fire deals it signed with Ukraine, standing by its gas-supply agreement with Ukraine and throwing no fresh wrenches in the way of the EU-Ukraine trade and political pact.
 
The paper, which has not yet been sent to member states, was prepared by the EU's foreign-policy arm ahead of a meeting of the bloc's foreign ministers on Monday in Brussels. No immediate decisions are expected from that meeting where the EU's medium-term approach to Russia is the main item on the agenda. EU energy chief Maros Sefcovic will visit Moscow on Wednesday for discussions with top officials from the government and the state gas company Gazprom.

*  *  *
Just when you thought it was all over...

Arctic troops arrive as Russia masses united northern command

Russia is building bases across the icy landscape, reviving and constructing airfields and townships and delivering hardware and life-support systems for the troops


Military units are taking up their positions in Russia's Arctic as a newly formed United Strategic Command gathers strength to protect national interests throughout the vast northern territory.

Russia is building bases across the icy landscape, reviving and constructing airfields and townships and delivering hardware and life-support systems for the troops.

In August, Russia's navy established a Pacific Fleet base on the Arctic Ocean's Wrangel Island, 140 kilometers off the coast of Chukotka peninsula. This advanced plans to build six active communities, assembling servicemen from divisions in western, central and southern Russia.

And on Tuesday, a first train carrying a motor rifle brigade of Northern Fleet coastal defense forces arrived - destination Alakurtti, southwest of the Kola peninsula in Murmansk region.

Combat training, two barracks and a canteen awaited them, fleet spokesman Vadim Serga told TASS. “Provision of comfortable daily living conditions for personnel of the first Arctic formation is under special control,” Northern Fleet commander Admiral Vladimir Korolev pledged during an inspection there.

As the year unfolds, servicemen will be kitted out with clothes to arm them against 60-degree frosts. Snow-and swamp-going vehicles will arrive, Deputy Defense Minister General Dmitry Bulgakov announced in Moscow on Tuesday. Months ahead will lay infrastructure to deliver 10 of 14 planned airfields.

Another flip-flop from Obama

"Boots On The Ground"? Obama To Seek Authorization For Military Force Against ISIS




13 January, 2015

Having unveiled his non-boots-on-the-ground strategy in September, President Obama's "promise" was quickly proved fragile when General Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, indicated to the House of Representatives armed services committee that the strength of ISIS relative to the Iraqi army may be such that he would recommend abandoning Obama’s oft-repeated pledge against returning US ground troops to combat in Iraq. It seemsanother promise is about to be broken as Bloomberg reports Senator John Cornyn said President Obama told congressional leaders during meeting today at White House he would seek authorization for military force on Islamic State. Boehner’s office, in separate statement after meeting, said Republicans would work with him to build support.
As Bloomberg reports, Obama to Seek Authorization for Military Force







President Obama told congressional leaders during meeting today at White House he would seek authorization for actions on Islamic State, Republican Sen. John Cornyn tells reporters.
No details on timing or substance
 
Cornyn, fellow Republican Sen. John Thune say Obama’s intention is good development, may help smooth way for confirmation of Ashton Carter as next defense secretary
 
House Speaker John Boehner, other Republicans have been pressing Obama to seek authorization
 
Boehner’s office, in separate statement after meeting, said he encouraged Obama to send Congress the authorization and said Republicans would work with him to build support

So what can we expect? (as we noted previously)...








General Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the joint chiefs of staff, indicated to the House of Representatives armed services committee that the strength of Isis relative to the Iraqi army may be such that he would recommend abandoning Obama’s oft-repeated pledge against returning US ground troops to combat in Iraq.
 
Retaking the critical city of Mosul, Iraq’s second largest, and re-establishing the border between Iraq and Syria that Isis has erased “will be fairly complex terrain” for the Iraqi security forces that the US is once again supporting.
 
I’m not predicting at this point that I would recommend that those forces in Mosul and along the border would need to be accompanied by US forces,but we’re certainly considering it,” Dempsey said.








Iraq will need about 80,000 effective military troops to retake the terrain it lost to Islamic State militants and restore its border with Syria, the top U.S. general said on Thursday.
 
"We're going to need about 80,000 competent Iraqi security forces to recapture territory lost, and eventually the city of Mosul, to restore the border," Army General Martin Dempsey, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of staff, told a congressional hearing.

*  *  *

It appears some folks are going to be putting their boots on the ground...


Europe is divided down the middle as 'liberal' fascism raises its ugly head, there are attacks on Muslims and Charlie promises to keep up the bigotry

Anti-Islamization PEGIDA Movement Steps Up Activities Around Europe

Germany's PEGIDA has won international support, with many European countries launching their own branches of the movement.


13 January, 2015


MOSCOW, January 13 (Sputnik) — Germany's Patriotic Europeans Against the Islamization of the West (PEGIDA) movement which has gained notoriety in the media for conducting anti-Islamization rallies in Dresden every Monday, reportedly attracted 25,000 people to this week’s demonstration.

The German branch of PEGIDA was founded in Dresden in October 2014. Since then, it has attracted thousands of Germans, including far-right groups and those concerned with immigration. "We demand from OUR justice an exhaustive use of all legal means against self-proclaimed jihadists and hate preachers!”, the group's Facebook page claims.

According to the group's manifesto, it affirms the right of asylum for refugees, demands an increase in funding for police, opposes violent political ideology, and calls for zero tolerance towards criminal immigrants, a decrease in the number of asylum seekers per social worker and the implementation of all asylum laws, among other things. According to Deutsche Welle, Islamism is branded a misogynist and violent ideology by the group.

Switzerland's wing has been active on Facebook since late December. According to a post on the group's page, they are planning a demonstration on February 16 although the location has not yet been disclosed. "Many people have been awakened since the Islamist terrorist attack in France and realize how big the risk is," the movement's spokesman Ignaz Bearth said, as quoted by 20 Minuten, a German-language newspaper in Switzerland.

According to the UK's PEGIDA Facebook page, an unofficial vigil took place in Manchester on January 11. "PEGIDA United Kingdom is united with PEGIDA Germany and will do marches on Monday 18:30 together in the future."

The French branch of the movement was launched in December 2014, claiming that there is "widespread awareness in Europe that the massive Islamization we see is a real danger to our culture and way of life," according to the group's Facebook page.

The group has repeatedly received harsh criticism from German officials. According to Deutsche Welle, the movement called for an observance of a minute's silence "for victims of terrorism in Paris." Angela Merkel condemned these calls, saying it "was simply disgusting" how PEGIDA was "trying to exploit the despicable crimes in Paris," the German daily Bild reported. "Islam is part of Germany. I am the chancellor of all Germans," Merkel said, as quoted by the BBC.

Many in Germany are against the group, with tens of thousands taking to Dresden streets Saturday with calls for "open mindedness and humanity," Deutsche Welle reported. The city mayor was present, reportedly stating that she was not against PEGIDA protesters, but did not fear people with different skin color, customs or ways.


Valls announces the deployment of nearly 8,500 military

Valls annonce le déploiement de près de 8500 militaires




http://www.romandie.com/news/Valls-annonce-le-deploiement-de-pres-de-8500-militaires_RP/553559.rom

Nearly 8,500 soldiers will be deployed in France, announced Prime Minister Manuel Valls. The government will also mobilize some 5,000 police to protect Jewish schools. 

These measures are the result of attacks last week against "Charlie Hebdo" and a Jewish trade. 

Guest BFM TV and RMC, the head of government said the Vigipirate would be maintained at the level it was noted after attack that left 12 killed Wednesday in the newspaper "Charlie Hebdo" and "8470 soldiers (were) to be made." 

Two thousand in total have already been mobilized and 4100 gendarmes and over six thousand more will the be quickly, he dded

1,400 Frenchmen joined or 'plan to join' terrorists in Syria, Iraq – PM



French Prime Minister Manuel Valls (Reuters/Charles Platiau)

RT,
13 January, 2014


Some 1,400 people living in France have joined or plan to battle alongside militants in Syria and Iraq, Prime Minister Manuel Valls said. The number of French jihad followers has risen by at least 200 people in the past month.

"There are 1,400 individuals who are involved in the departures for jihad, for terrorism, in Syria and in Iraq," Valls told BFMTV.

"There are close to 70 French citizens or residents in France who have died in Syria and Iraq in the ranks of the terrorists," he added.

In December, French Interior Minister Bernard Cazeneuve told the nation's parliament that around 1,200 French citizens had left to fight alongside Islamists, and 390 were members of radical groups in the region.

"It is a massive jump in very little time: there were just about 30 cases when I became interior minister [in mid-2012], and 1,400 today," said Valls.

Following the terror attacks in which 17 people were killed by gunmen in Paris last week, French authorities remain on high alert. Officials said that Paris will deploy 10,000 soldiers on home soil by Tuesday and post almost 5,000 extra police officers to protect Jewish sites by Tuesday.

French-born brothers of Algerian origin Cherif and Said Kouachi launched an attack on the Charlie Hebdo HQ after several publications were released containing cartoons that ridiculed the Prophet Muhammad.

Policemen work at the scene after a shooting at the Paris offices of Charlie Hebdo January 7, 2015. (Reuters/Youssef Boudlal)Policemen work at the scene after a shooting at the Paris offices of Charlie Hebdo January 7, 2015. (Reuters/Youssef Boudlal)

They reportedly entered the building and began shooting, while shouting: “The prophet has been avenged.”

Meanwhile, on Saturday, Valls said that Paris has declared war against “radical Islam, against terrorism, against jihadism.” The comment was made during a speech in Évry commune, in the southern suburbs of Paris.

Volunteers to fight alongside Islamic State militants have been flocking to Syria and Iraq from all over the world. France, Germany, and the UK account for the largest number of citizens from European countries fighting alongside militants in Syria, according to a report from the International Centre for the Study of Radicalisation (ICSR) in 2014.


Charlie Hebdo to Keep Same Line After Terror Attack: Magazine’s Journalist

Charlie Hebdo producer says if the magazine changed its style, it would "kill the attack's victims again".




MOSCOW, January 13 (Sputnik) – The publication of the next issue of the French Charlie Hebdo satirical magazine will be difficult, but it will stay in line with its previous policy, paying tribute to the victims of the recent terror attack, a journalist who works for Charlie Hebdo told Sputnik radio Tuesday.

"It will be very difficult, but we are going to try… The new Charlie for next week is now ready. It is going to be published on Wednesday, one million. We are going on the same, exactly the same line. We are not going to move one centimeter [from] what we wanted and what we were. Because … if we change, as I said before, is as if we kill them [victims of the attack] again," Angelique Kourounis, Charlie Hebdo journalist and producer, told Sputnik radio.

The journalist also noted that the magazine's staff is multiconfessional, while Muslims, Jews, Catholic and Orthodox Christians, as well as non-believers work for Charlie Hebdo, which has always pursued secularist policy.

"Religion is not the public staff. That's the line of Charlie Hebdo," Kourounis stated.

In conclusion, the journalist expressed gratitude for the people who took to the streets for a unity rally in Paris on Sunday and called it "a big hug".

On January 7, three men attacked the office of Charlie Hebdo in Paris, killing 12 people and injuring 11 others. The two terrorists responsible for the attack were killed later during a police raid. The third suspect turned himself in.
The French magazine is known for its cartoons mocking political and religious figures, among them the Prophet Muhammad. The cover of the new Charlie Hebdo edition due to come out on Wednesday also depicts the Prophet.


A unity rally that took place in Paris on Sunday and was attended by more than three million people who called for an end to extremist violence worldwide.


And in the meantime oil prices continue to plummet while denial soars

Oil plummet: Crude dives below $45 for first time since 2009

Brent crude and WTI have continued their headlong plunge in early trading Tuesday, hitting record six-year lows.



RT,

13 January, 2014


Brent crude and WTI have continued their headlong plunge in early trading Tuesday, hitting record six-year lows.

Brent crude futures fell 2.64 percent to $46.12 in trading on London’s ICE exchange, while WTI dropped by 2.41 percent, plunging below $45 to $44.96 (10:00 MSK). Brent and WTI prices are now at their lowest levels since spring 2009.

The ruble was quick to react to the news, losing more than 2 percent in early trading on the Moscow Stock Exchange. The Russian currency was trading at 64.93 to the dollar and 76.94 to the euro at 11:00 am local time.

On Tuesday, UAE Oil Minister Suhail Mohammed Faraj Al Mazroui said OPEC was no longer able to “protect” oil prices.

[OPEC] cannot continue protecting a certain price. That is not the only aim of OPEC,” he said at a Gulf Intelligence energy event in Abu Dhabi.
We are concerned about the balance of the market, but we cannot be the only party that is responsible to balance the market,” Al Mazroui said.

View image on Twitter
extends selloff on UAE minister’s comments. WTI below, Brent near $45/bbl. http://on.wsj.com/1Bg8uq5 

Mazouri said the UAE was not planning to alter its output, adding that all oil producers should demonstrate awareness of global economic development and regulate their production accordingly.

"The key factor of hydrocarbon overproduction has become the extraction of shale oil,” he said. “And this should be corrected."

Iranian President Khassan Rouhani says he is sure other oil producers such as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will suffer along with Iran should it be hit by the crisis.

"Those that have planned to decrease the prices against other countries, will regret this decision,"Rouhani said in a speech broadcast on state television Tuesday.
"If Iran suffers from the drop in oil prices, know that other oil producing countries such as Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will suffer more than Iran," he dded.

Arab bourses have reacted to the news and started to slide Tuesday. The Dubai Financial Market is down 2.1 percent, Qatar has slipped 1.9 percent and the Saudi Arabian Tadawul index has lost 1.6 percent.

On Monday, Goldman Sachs halved its 2015 oil forecast to about $40 a barrel for the next six months. The bank’s analysts said the low oil price will likely persist to curb oversupply, mostly from US shale.
Reuters/Heinz-Peter Bader
Reuters/Heinz-Peter Bader


Too big to fail’ banks at stake

This week’s earnings reports have shown a number of US ‘too big to fail’ banks could take a hit as oil prices continue to plummet. They are deeply involved in the energy sector, not only underwriting oil firm debts, but also financing homes for workers.

Some of the major banks in the US energy sector include Citigroup, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Citigroup’s oil and gas investments made up about 11.8 percent of the investment banking revenue, or $492 million. The share of Goldman Sachs was 7.1 percent, or $381 million.

The banks issued billions of dollars in loans when oil was at $80 a barrel. Now with the price below $50 bonds are likely to turn into risky assets.

However, the banks won’t be put out of business, Lew Rockwell, chairman of the Ludwig von Mises Institute, told RT. The crisis will primarily hit banks in oil producing states such as Oklahoma, Texas, North and South Dakota, he said.

The banks involved in the energy business, like everybody involved in the energy business, from a production standpoint to sales standpoint – they’re going to see their profits cut,” he said.


And the rest of the world look for alternatives to the Empire

China and Russia to launch new credit rating agency in 2015


Reuters/How Hwee Yong

http://rt.com/business/222175-russia-china-rating-agency/

The new Universal Credit Rating Group (UCRG) is being set up to rival the existing agencies Moody's, S&P and Fitch, and its first rating will be issued this year.

The setting up of UCRG is in its final stages, ready to challenge the ‘Big Three’ that currently dominate the industry, the Managing Director of RusRating Aleksandr Ovchinnikov told Sputnik News Agency on Tuesday.

"In our opinion, the first ratings [will] appear … during the current year," Ovchinnikov said, adding that accreditation with the local regulator is already underway.

The news comes on the heels of Fitch’s decision to follow S&P in downgrading Russia’s sovereign credit rating to BBB-, a step above junk level and on par with India and Turkey.

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