Wednesday 6 May 2015

Abrupt climate change - stories - 05/05/2015

Ocean Dead Zones Swirl Off Africa, Threatening Coastlines with Mass Fish Kills

5 May, 2015


The world ocean is now a region of expanding oxygen-deprived dead zones.

It’s an upshot of a human-warmed ocean system filled with high nutrient run-off from mass, industrialized farming, rising atmospheric nitrogen levels, and increasing dust from wildfires, dust storms, and industrial aerosol emissions. Warming seas hold less oxygen in solution. And the nutrient seeding feeds giant algae blooms that, when they die and decompose, further rob ocean waters of oxygen. Combined, the two are an extreme hazard to ocean health — symptoms of a dangerous transition to stratified, or worse, Canfield Ocean states.

Coastal Dead Zones -- No Fish Left
(Geographical extent of more than 405 coastal dead zones worldwide. New dead zones discovered by scientists are now traversing mid-ocean regions. Image source: No Fish Left.)

In total, more than 405 dead zones now occupy mostly coastal waters worldwide. Covering an area of 95,000 square miles and expanding, these anoxic regions threaten marine species directly through suffocation or indirectly through the growth of toxin-producing bacteria which thrive in low-oxygen environments.
Mobile Underwater Cyclones of Death

Now, according to new research published in Biogeosciences, it appears that some of these dead zones have gone mobile.

The report finds zones of very low oxygen covering swirls of surface water 100-150 kilometers in diameter and stretching to about 100 meters in depth. The zones churn like whirlpools or eddies. Encapsulated in their own current of water with oxygen levels low enough to induce fish kills, these ‘dead pools’ have been discovered swirling off the coast of Africa in recent satellite photos.

The ‘dead pools’ form as strong ocean eddies break off from West African ocean currents. The eddies create mixing environments near the surface which fuels algae blooms (seen as the light blue coloration in the image below). Large algae blooms are trapped in the eddy and as the algae die, they rob the water column of oxygen. The flows of the eddy form as a kind of wall to mixing with higher oxygen surrounding waters. As a result, the oxygen readings within the dead pool plummets.

Dead Pool Eddy 2
(Newly discovered ocean dead pools like the one shown above are propagating off the coast of West Africa. These eddies are mobile dead zones of low oxygen water. A new phenomena, they represent a unique threat to ocean health in addition to the 405 other, mostly stationary, dead zones in the world’s coastal waters. Image source: Biogeosciences.)

According to lead-author Johannes Karstensen, a researcher at GEOMAR, the Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, in Kiel, Germany:
The fast rotation of the eddies makes it very difficult to exchange oxygen across the boundary between the rotating current and the surrounding ocean. Moreover, the circulation creates a very shallow layer – of a few tens of meters – on top of the swirling water that supports intense plant growth. From our measurements, we estimated that the oxygen consumption within the eddies is some five times larger than in normal ocean conditions.”
Researchers found levels in these swirls to be less than 0.3 millilitres of oxygen per litre of seawater or about 1/100th the oxygen content of surrounding ocean. These are readings low enough to produce mass fish kills and to support production of toxin-producing bacteria harmful to oxygen dependent life.

Azores Downrange of Dead Pools

The zones were observed moving through the Tropical North Atlantic west of Africa. They propagated toward the north and west, finally petering out about 100 kilometers north of the Azores. This puts that East Atlantic archipelago directly in the line of fire of these new, low-oxygen eddies. A cause for concern. If one of these eddies were to enter the Azores the result could be a massive fish die off around the island chain.
Karstensen notes:
“…it is not unlikely that an open-ocean dead zone will hit the islands at some point. This could cause the coast to be flooded with low-oxygen water, which may put severe stress on the coastal ecosystems and may even provoke fish kills and the die-off of other marine life.”
Observations of these dead pools seems to indicate they are a new event. A possible result of nutrient enrichment of the surface waters in West African currents due to increased run-off or surface water nitrogen and dust seeding. As extreme rainfall events related to climate change wash more sediment down rivers and into the oceans, as more nitrogen compounds and particulate matter hit the atmosphere due to fossil fuel emissions, wildfire burning, and dust storms, and as sea level rise starts to flood nutrient-rich low lying areas, it is possible that the Tropical Atlantic dead pools represent an emerging ocean state that will grow more prevalent as time moves forward.

(UPDATED — 2037 EST, 5 May, 2015)

Links:
Hat Tip to Colorado Bob
Hat Tip to DT Lange
Hat Tip to Jeremy Beck

Meanwhile the NZ Minister of Conservation, the Hon. Maggie Barry (well-known for hosting a TV gardening show) "disputes the facts"
Fading shores: Reality of climate change
Atasa Moceituba

Government delegates walk through the gap of a broken sea wall at Susui Village in Vanuabalavu, Lau. Picture: ATASA MOCEITUBA

5 May, 2015

THE effects of climate change and global warming has not spared the Lau Group with eroding shorelines now a common problem among the smaller islands.

While this was evident when government officials visited the group last month, the resilience of its people in fighting the effects of climate change with limited resources was humbling.

The Lau Province has islands where sea walls have been built and gabions constructed to power down the waves crashing on to the eroding shoreline.

For the villagers of Susui in Vanuabalavu, Lau they are now facing the consequences of climate change and have been informed by government officials to relocate or move to higher ground for safety.

Despite the challenges and difficulties they face and the little knowledge they have, the people have tried their best to make use of the resources available around them and at the same time, save themselves from the severe effects of climate change.

Villager Jereti Noa said they had been using rock linings and gabions to construct sea walls.

Mr Noa said they hardly asked Government for assistance and had tried their best to help themselves without relying on aid and assistance from others.

He said they believed more awareness was needed and Government should concentrate on areas greatly affected by climate change.

"Coastal erosion is all over the place, our beaches are degraded and the waves are slowing eating the beaches away," he said.

ITaukei Affairs Board conservation officer Sophy Buinimasi said more awareness about the effects of climate change on outer islands was needed.

She said salt intrusion had affected fresh water sources and urged villagers in the province to plant more mangroves to stop coastal erosion.


Climate change sparks tension in India's tea gardens

A tea garden worker plucks tea leaves inside Aideobarie Tea Estate in Jorhat in Assam, India, April 21, 2015. REUTERS/Ahmad Masood

4 May, 2015

JORHAT, India, May 5 (Reuters) - Usha Ghatowar smiles wryly when asked about the pay she earns picking leaves at a colonial-era tea garden in India's Assam.

"Do you think 3,000 rupees ($48) are enough when your monthly expenses can be double that?" she mumbles, as she puts on her "jaapi" hat of woven bamboo and palm leaves and takes a sip of tea from a steel mug.

As the women workers around Ghatowar nod in agreement the heavens open - it has started raining heavily in recent days after three largely dry months.

Unrest is brewing among Assam's so-called Tea Tribes, whose forefathers were brought here by British planters from neighbouring Bihar and Odisha more than a century ago, as changing weather patterns upset the economics of the industry.

Scientists say climate change is to blame for uneven rainfall that is cutting yields and lifting costs for tea firms such as McLeod Russel, Tata Global Beverages and Jay Shree Tea.

While rainfall has declined and become concentrated, temperatures have risen - ideal conditions for pests like looper caterpillar and tea mosquito to infest the light green tea shoots just before they are ready to be plucked for processing.

Use of pesticides and fertilisers has nearly doubled as a result in Assam's 800 big tea plantations, known as gardens, and the rising costs are making Indian tea less competitive.

As a result, firms in Assam are resisting calls from activists and student leaders to lift the daily wage of tea workers from about $2 agreed to recently, blaming weak prices and the doubling of crop expenses over the past 10 years.

Assam Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi, whose Congress party was routed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the 2014 general election, has sided with the workers ahead of state polls due early next year.

COURTING THE TEA VOTE

State elections have national significance in India - Modi needs to win most of the state assembly contests in the next four years if he is to take control of the upper house of the federal parliament and ease the passage of his reform agenda.

Tea tribe votes can swing results in about a quarter of the seats in Assam, the country's main growing area, and the BJP has been making inroads.

In an interview to Reuters, Gogoi denied an opportunistic motive behind his call for the wage to be raised to about $3 a day.

"I had warned the tea planters about climate change but they did not take care for a long time," Gogoi said. "They thought it would be easy money. I can't allow injustice for tea labourers."

Assam Tea Planters Association (ATPA) Chairman Raj Barooah said they would examine Gogoi's demand but "there has to be a fair wage that can sustain the industry".

The average temperature in Assam has risen by 1.4 degrees Celsius in the past century and rainfall is down by 200 mm (8 ins) a year, said R.M. Bhagat, chief scientist at the Tea Research Association in Assam's tea hub of Jorhat.

"In the last 30 years we have seen that the magnitude of the effect of climate change is pretty high," he said. "Rainfall has gone topsy-turvy. There is either too much or too little water, forcing planters to use sprinklers on what is a rain-fed crop."

Several tea garden labourers and planters Reuters spoke with said tea factories in Assam now only run for about six months compared with round-the-year operations earlier.

Less rainfall resulted in an 8 percent fall in tea exports last year, according to the Indian Tea Association (ITA).

India is the world's No.2 tea producer but is less export-oriented than other producers thanks to its big home market, and Sri Lanka has been extending its lead as the world's third largest exporter behind China and Kenya.

LEARNING TO ADAPT

Labour accounts for 60 percent of the total costs for tea firms in Assam, whose prices last year were higher than those auctioned in Mombasa in Kenya, Chittagong in Bangladesh, Limbe in Malawi and Indonesian capital Jakarta.

Profit margins at Kolkata-based McLeod Russel, the world's largest tea producer, are estimated to have fallen to their lowest in six years in the year ended March 31, according to Thomson Reuters data.

To cut labour costs, tea companies like Aideobarie Tea Estates, owned by ATPA's Barooah, are exploring greater use of machines to harvest and spray nutrients or pesticides.

Barooah, whose company employs 48-year-old leaf plucker Ghatowar, her husband and now her eldest son, is also thinking of expanding into high-margin white tea made from tea buds.

Other tea gardens have moved to cultivating black pepper, turmeric, ginger, vegetables and fruit alongside tea, while Indian scientists are testing tea varieties that can adapt and survive in hotter and drier conditions.

But in the face of long-term climate change, that may not be enough.

"With rain so scarce, a day may come when Assam will not grow tea any more," said tea scientist Subhash Chandra Barua. "Planting a crop is fine but economic cultivation may not be feasible". ($1 = 63.1328 Indian rupees)


Palestine Faces Grave 
Climate Threat, But Lacks 

Voice At UN Talks – Ed King

Jerusalem from the sky (UN Photo/Rick Bajornas)
Jerusalem from the sky (UN Photo/Rick Bajornas)
5 May, 2015

Few conflicts generate as much heat and rage as the ongoing tussle between Israel and Palestine.

Peace appears as far away as ever, after the recent collapse of US-led talks, and the 2014 Gaza war.

The two nations face an added, unseen and growing threat – that could heighten tensions yet further.

Rising global temperatures are likely to make drought in the region more common, a UN panel of scientists reported in 2014.

It’s unlikely just to hit farmers. Drinking water supplies – already a precious commodity in this arid region – are also set to become scare.

For Nedal Katbeh-Bad, the Palestinian government’s climate change advisor and representative at UN talks, it’s a bleak prospect in an already tough environment.

Taking into account the political situation, Israeli control, this will exacerbate the situation and make it much more severe,” he tells RTCC, hinting at the potential for further conflict.

What we are expecting will be challenging for both sides,” he adds.


What are the odds of this being republished in the NZ press?Practically zero, I'd say.


Two degrees warming a 'prescription for disaster' says top climate scientist James Hansen

The aim to limit global warming to two degrees of pre-industrial levels is "crazy" and "a prescription for disaster", according to a long-time NASA climate scientist.

Here's a doozy from the pro nuker; "Nuclear energy will need to play a big role in creating "carbon-free electricity" because non-hydro renewable energy - which now accounts for just 3 per cent of total supplies - would not be able to be ramped up fast enough, he said."

"If we have carbon-free electricity, the problem is solved," Professor Hansen said."

Without going into it too much 

1) When the ice caps melt and the planetary thermostat is broken we lose most habitat on the planet very quickly as Professor Guy McPherson has pointed out. 

2) Our phytoplankton and oceans are dying and our forests clear cut and stressed and they provide most of our food and oxygen. How the hell does anyone think we are getting out of this predicament? 

3) If nuclear is the answer it must be a pretty stupid question. Robertscribbler thinks I'm too harsh on the IPCC. December will tell

--- Kevin Hester


Paris 2015: Two degrees 


warming a 'prescription for 


disaster' says top climate 


scientist James Hansen


Antarctica's ice sheets are melting faster than models predicted, James Hansen says
Antarctica's ice sheets are melting faster than models predicted, James Hansen says Photo: Alex Cornell

5 May, 2015

The aim to limit global warming to two degrees of pre-industrial levels is "crazy" and "a prescription for disaster", according to a long-time NASA climate scientist.

The paleo-climate record shows sea-levels were six to eight metres higher than current levels when global temperatures were less than two degrees warmer than they are now, Professor James Hansen, formerly head of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies and now at Columbia University in New York, said.

"It's crazy to think that 2 degrees celsius is a safe limit," Professor Hansen told RN Breakfast on ABC Radio on Tuesday, adding that this would lock in several metres of sea-level rise by the middle of the century,

Wollongong Harbour copped a battering during last month's east coast low.
Wollongong Harbour copped a battering during last month's east coast low. Photo: Adam McLean

New satellite data over the past decade indicate that the ice sheets are disintegrating faster than had been modelled by climate scientists.
"The ice sheets are losing mass faster and faster, with a doubling time of about 10 years," Professor Hansen said. "If that continues, we would get sea-level rises of several metres by 40-50 years." 

"The consequences are almost unthinkable. It would mean that all coastal cities would become dysfunctional," he told ABC Radio. 
Beach erosion at Hawks Nest in the wake of April's storms.
Beach erosion at Hawks Nest in the wake of April's storms.


Even the goal of limiting warming by two degrees is looking like it is unlikely to be met. A study out this week by Lord Nicholas Stern and colleagues found that the commitment and likely pledges by nations to cut greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 fall about half short of the reductions needed to restrict the two-degree increase on pre-industrial levels.

Professor Hansen said fossil fuel prices had to be priced high enough to make them "honest". Nuclear energy will need to play a big role in creating "carbon-free electricity" because non-hydro renewable energy - which now accounts for just 3 per cent of total supplies - would not be able to be ramped up fast enough, he said.

"If we have carbon-free electricity, the problem is solved," Professor Hansen said.

James Hansen
James Hansen Photo: Michael Clayton-Jones,

Greens leader Christine Milne said Pacific Island nations are among those advocating 1.5 degrees as the maximum warming that the world should target.

"We need a complete overhaul of policies to make climate top of mind because right now we are living in a climate emergency, on track for 4 degrees of warming," Senator Milne said.

"The major parties are teaming up to cut the Renewable Energy Target - which will kill jobs and investment in large-scale solar - [that's] the last thing they should be doing right now," she said. "We need more ambition, not less, in all areas of Australian policy and that's sorely lacking in this parliament."

The Abbott government may secure agreement as soon as this week to reduce the renewable energy target from the current 41,000 gigawatt-hours a year by 2020 to 33,000 gWh.

Paris summit

Climate change issues are likely to gain more attention in the run-up to the Paris climate summit planned for France in December. 

Global temperatures may also be in focus with the prospects of an El Nino in the Pacific making it likely that 2015 will be the hottest year on record - breaking a high set only in 2014.

The first three months of 2015 - and the past 12 months - were also the hottest in 136 years of data, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said last month.

Picture name


Ocean Mercury Levels Have Tripled Since the Industrial Revolution

mercury, oceans, shallow waters, mercury pollution, ocean seafood, Nature, murcury levels triple, north atlantic ocean mercury, south atlantic mercury, pacific ocean mercury, arctic circle, woods hole oceanographic institute, simon boxall, stop eating ocean fish, damaged marine life, marine life, marine environment

An alarming new study shows that mercury levels near the surface of many of the world’s oceans have tripled since the industrial revolution. The leap is due to pollution from a variety of sources including mines, coal-fired power plants and sewage. The study stops short of warning against human consumption of seafood, but it does warn of damage to marine life – and one scientist calls it “an alarm call for the future.”

http://inhabitat.com/ocean-mercury-levels-have-tripled-since-the-industrial-revolution/

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